Whenever someone clicks like on my post, or likes my Facebook page, or tells me that I did something right, I feel warm and happy inside. It is a very little thing to click that like button, but if you like something and take the trouble to say so, you will make someone very happy.
I am in the process of transferring my blog to WordPress from LiveJournal. Hello!
My sister and her friends seem to be posting a review of where they lived and with how many for each census year. So I’ll have a go too:
2011: I’m 40, and live with my husband and two children in a three-bed mid-terrace in Lees, on a mortgage
2001: 30. We moved in the summer, so if wer’e talking March, I lived with my husband in a 3 bed end of terrace in Clarksfield, Oldham, that we rented from his father at a preferential rate. I don’t remember filing this census. Have I simply forgotten? No we must have done it. I remember the Jedi thing.
1991: 20 I was ‘officially’ resident at home in Donnington, Telford, in a 3-bed semi with my mum and my little sister. But I was studying at Exeter University, so that’s where I was. In halls of residence.
1981: 10. In a four-bed flat in Soest, Germany, with my mum and dad and two siblings.
1971: I was born in the January, so in March I’d be about two months. I think I lived in Perham Down, in rented, with my mum and my dad. I don’t know what kind of house it was. I think it was a house.
The Oldham East and Saddleworth By-election
A lot of the results have been presented in a way that makes the lib-dem candidate look as if he did as well in this election as he did in the last, approximately. But this is clearly not the case. So let's analyse them properly. I ignore the 'percentage of people who voted figures' becuase they aren't needed in a first-past the post system, and because they were severely misleading.
The electorate is given as 72,788
The turn out is given as 48.1%. This means that abstentions were 51.9%.
The candidates were:
Debbie Abrahams (Lab) with 14,718 votes, this is a percentage of the electorate of 20.2%
Elwyn Watkins (Lib-Dem) with 11,160 votes, or 15.3%
Kashif Ali (Con) with 4,481 votes or 6.2%
Paul Nuttall (UKIP) with 2,029 votes or 2.8%
Derek Adams (BNP) with 1,560 votes or 2.1%
Peter Allen (Green) with 530 votes or 0.7%
The Flying Brick (MR Loony) with 145 votes or 0.2%
Stephen Morris (Eng Dem) with 144 votes or 0.2%
Loz Kaye (Pirate) with 96 votes or 0.1%
David Bishop (Bus-Pass Elvis) with 67 votes or 0.1%
Compared with the May election:
Presumably, the electorate was the same, 72,788
The turn out was 61.6 %, making abstentions 38.4%
The candidates were:
Phill Woolas (Lab) with 14,186 votes, or 19.4% of the electorate
Elwyn Watkins (Lib-Dem) with 14,083 votes, or 19.3%
Kashif Ali (Con) with 11,773 votes or 16.2%
Alwyn Stott (BNP) with 2,546 votes or 3.5%
David Bentley (UKIP) with 1,720 votes, or 2.4%
Gulzar Nazir (Christian Party) with 212 votes, or 0.3 %/
Now everything becomes clear: nearly ten thousand people who did vote in May didn't vote this time round ((51.9 minus 38.4) divided by 100 multiplied by 72788). This is an extremely important part of the result; it shows that people are not happy with the choices on offer, with the political process generally, etc.
Of the three top parties:
The labour party drew 532 more votes, about 37% (532 divided by 14186 times a hundred, if you're not good at maths), which is not to be sneezed at. and the support of a higher percentage of the electorate, as well as a higher percentage of the non-abstentions. This is clearly a landslide victory.
The lib-dems lost 2923 votes, about 20% (2923 divided by 14083 times a hundred). Clearly they lost support among the electorate as a whole, even if their share of the votes cast seemed good.
The conservatives lost big time. A drop in 7292 votes, more than 60% (7292 divided by 11773 times a hundred). Maybe the supporters who voted for them are in the increase in abstentions, maybe some conservative voters switched to lib-dem.
So, this by-election is a very strong vote of no-confidence in the conservative party, and in the coalition, and demonstrates a clear reduction in support for the lib-dems. And that was with a labour scandal, a complete unknown filling the labour candidacy and a larger number of candidates to split the vote…
I analysed the blog post that reviewed a recent orchestra concert.
Succesfully navigated us to a strange address without Sat Nav. I spurn Sat Nav. All we needed was a good road atlas (ours needs replacing, as we’ve lost some pages, but fortunately not the pages that mattered) and a map of our destination, which I obtained from Google Maps. Isn’t Google Maps fantastic?
I have this shiny new computer screen. (computer monitor). It is a HP 2310i. It is (I’ve not measured) 23 inches diagonally. It is wide screen, which is pretty much as good as two of my old screens next to each other. It is probably the kind of screen that Windows 7 was made for. However, it does mean I need to move things around to look without hurting my neck, and to wear my glasses, so everything can be small and I can still see it. Also, my old screen had the speakers at the bottom, and this screen’s speakers are hidden away, so it is a bit low. Might find a book to go under it. More annoyingly, it is absurdly reflective. When all is switched off, it might be a mirror. When I squint at photos, the reflections get in the way…
Also, I have put Radio 3 on. Harpsichord music. I want it to be louder, but it is not. This might be because the speakers are shooting the sound out backwards from the back of the screen and I am sitting in front of the screen. What is the logic in that?
Edit: Classic FM comes across louder: it must be that the Radio 3 broadcast things more quietly. I am sure that they do; because we always have to adjust volume when changing channels, whatever radio we use.
The tax year begins on this strange day for historical reasons. In the olden days, the new year began on March 25th, being the feast of the Annunciation. However, the calendar in use was not accurat; when they changed from the Julian to the Gregorian calender, they corrected for the inaccuracy simply by dropping the days that the calendar was out of sync by. But because the accountants didn’t want a year with fewer days, the tax year date was changed by adding the right number of days. Actually, since lots of people are paid or pay bills on the first of the month, or somewhere at the end of the month, it can be convenient to change the tax year at a day that is not one of those dates.
Time to: Check bank accounts, file tax return (unless you’re waiting for an important document, of course).